A Beginners Look At ETF Trend Trading
January 4, 2010 by Patrick Deaton
Filed under Investing
As a person who is just beginning to enter the world of ETF (Exchange-Traded Funds), you are going to hear many different types of trading discussed. ETF trend trading will probably be a term that will be a little confusing. Many people talk about this trending as though it is a separate type of trading that is not related to other types of trading. In some cases you will hear that by trend trading, you will be more successful with your trades.
When people begin to look at ETF trading they usually will read books, take some courses, and get information from successful traders. In all of this information there will be one theme that will make a trader successful. That is to do a technical analysis and historic data collection on the sector that is going to be traded. You do this to spot trends and patterns. When a trend starts, you jump in. When the trend reverses, you get out.
The technical definition of ETF Trend Trading is to do an analysis of a sector, get in when the trend starts to move and get out when it reverses. If you’ve been following the instructions of your training, you are already trend trading. The people who do a technical analysis of a sector that covers a three to five year period are getting only a snapshot of the trends and patterns within a sector and will have less success with proactively capturing gains when there is a trend.
It is very easy for a person to get caught up in the analytics of sectors when they are trying to make the most favorable trading decisions. In order to keep from being bogged down in the details and lose valuable time trading, it is a good idea to decide what type of ETF trend trading you are going to do as far as technical analysis and stick with it.
When a trend is analyzed that covers 1-3 years it is called a short term trend. Doing a short term trend analysis is effective is a person is working on a sector that introduces a product or makes a research discovery every one to three years. But, there are a lot more opportunities shown in that short term chart that one may miss if they have not done further research.
Intermediate term trends are the trends that occur within a long term trend. When analyzing trends, if the reason for an intermediate trend can be effectively identified, and a pattern found, there is a significant opportunity to make gains on those blips that occur in the sector.
When traders act on trends without having the background to know when to get in and when to get out, they can suffer losses. However, a person can use an intermediate trend in a sector to their advantage if they know that the same patter occurs every four years and what the buy and sell limits for that trend should be.
There are opportunities for individuals with long term ETFs to take advantages of trend trading as well. Even long term ETFs reverse course. If a person has done the analytics on a sector over a thirty year period and sees when the trend is going to reverse, they can take appropriate action before losing assets on the sector they are involved with.
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